What Will It Take?

Vote1Through the years, I have been open about my agnostic beliefs regarding politics. Without revisiting those bile-laden rants, my overall feelings are our political leaders are tone-deaf fighting for power within their parties that are by and large extreme in their left or right views while representing an electorate that are split down the middle in many of issues…especially social ones.1 Democrats have done a much better job of marketing themselves as a party for everyone while the GOP has stumbled and stammered around these same social issues that the country really doesn't want to expend the energy on. Finally, this administration of “Hope and Change” may have gone a “Bridge Too Far” as the lies and details of Obamacare begin to add up. There is no debating that the citizenry has been fed a series of inaccuracies by our president. All you have to do is go to your favorite browser and type “lies told by Obama about Obamacare” and previous clips of his speeches appear. Here are a few doozies:

1. If you like your plan, you can keep your plan. Since almost 6.3M plans have been involuntarily cancelled for individuals, I’d say this would be an untruth. 2

2. If you like your doctor, you can keep your doctor. See above.2

3. The average family would save $2500 per year in premium with lower deductibles. Families are actually having to increase their premiums in order to afford the increased premiums.2

4. There will be no uninsured folks left in this country after Obamacare. The Congressional Budget Office’s own numbers say that even after this healthcare plan is fully enacted, over 31M Americans will be without coverage. 2

Where’s the outrage? If George Bush had blatantly given such inaccuracies, what would have happened to his presidency? I dare say there would have an angry mob similar to this one found in the hilarious Mel Brooks film, “Young Frankenstein http://youtu.be/yq1KeyEARBU . We are talking about falsehoods told in order to change the landscape of this country. While we can debate the effectiveness or lack thereof socialized medicine, we cannot debate that we are introducing a governmental takeover of this country’s healthcare built on a foundation of lies.

With that in mind, may I remind you that we have some pretty important elections coming up in November? The entire House of Representatives is up for reelection. Democrats, who by the way seem to be distancing themselves as far as they can from this stinking pile known as the Affordable Care Act, need 17 seats to recapture control of the House. Handicappers say that because of Obamacare’s unpopularity, it is unlikely that Dems can pull that off.

In the Senate, Dems hold the majority 55-45 and 36 seats are up for grabs in November. The pivotal mid-term election states seem to be WV, SD, MT, GA, AK, AR, LA, CO, MI, NH, VA, MN and our own Kay Hagan’s seat in NC. There will be some pretty important upcoming dates that could have influence on these elections. In Mid-April, the Department of Health and Human Services will release its last enrollment report which will include key demographic information.3 Considering this is system built on the relative healthy backs of this country’s young, the Administration is counting on huge younger enrollment. Poor enrollment and premium lapses will frame this election nicely for the GOP.

In late June, the Supreme Court is likely to issue a ruling regarding the lawsuit brought on by Hobby Lobby against the Federal Government regarding the mandatory contraception coverage Obamacare mandates. Hobby Lobby is a family-owned corporation that feels strongly about being forced to offer contraception in mandated healthcare. Whether or not this ruling has any major impact the law, it will certainly rekindle the debate about the Affordable Care Act.3

In the late summer or early fall, some states will begin to announce how much Affordable Act health insurance premiums will rise for 2015. Big increases will again put Dems on the defensive about their prior support for it. Their strategy seems to be a hope that US voters will do what they normally do…become desensitized by a topic too large to comprehend. They hope that the lemmings will move past the deceit and the incompetence that Obamacare has become and will not hold them accountable for passing a bill that lawmakers never read or understood. I can tell you that this member of the electorate will never forget and nor should you.

1. “Four Moral Issues Sharply Divide Americans. Partisan disagreement drives national controversy on gay relations, abortion.” Lydia Saad. Gallup.com May 26, 2010. http://www.gallup.com/poll/137357/four-moral-issues-sharply-divide-americans.aspx 2. “Karl Rove on political ramifications over ObamaCare fallout.” Foxnews.com. March 31, 2013. http://video.foxnews.com/v/3415788169001/karl-rove-on-political-ramifications-over-obamacare-fallout/#sp=show-clips 3. “seven key times and dates in the seven months leading up to the midterms.” Paul Steinhauser. CNN. April 7, 2014. http://www.cnn.com/2014/04/07/politics/7-key-dates-midterms/

The opinions in this commentary express the views of the author and in no way represents the views of LPL Financial. The opinions voiced in this material are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual.